Therion's Morning Report - March 06

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As the sun rises over the financial bastion of King's Landing, our gaze stretches across the vast dominion of the markets, assessing battlegrounds where gains are jousting against losses. Today’s market bias is bearish, with both the SPY and the NASDAQ giants in retreat. A Lentilseller must find the opportune time to strike, lest he too be caught in the tide of red ink and regret.

Casting our eye South of the Wall to the rugged terrain of the Iron Islands, the stocks of Mexico trade with peculiar volatility. Among them, GFNORTEO.MX has fallen below critical support levels, flagging a potential retreat ripe for strategic entry. RSI scouts report oversold conditions at a mere 12.1, implying a battlefield exhausted and ripe for a counter-offensive. Current price levels near 189.32, combined with significant volume, suggest a potential rally as the tactical picture solidifies. Its MACD war drums still beat a retreat, but I see a chance for a quick raid on its present traps — aiming for a bounce to yesterday's Pivot, marking an ambitious target at 193.79. With a stop at the newly breached low of 188.55, it's a dangerous dance with a reward to risk ratio poised near 2.45:1 — a trade fitting for those who dare to skirmish.

From the hot sands of Dorne, volatile PRIO3.BZ entices but must be approached with depleted caution. Its RSI, overextended at 78.3, signals a potential reversal from exuberant highs. Breaking above its opening range, traders smell the scent of gas as it nudges 59.89. Here, patience is the ally of the wise; I suggest a watchful stance, vigilantly awaiting a turn in momentum or a strategic gap close before advancing.

In the realm of Vale3.BZ, formidable pressures mount as its Tech MACD and RSI converge in a mournful dirge of decline. Under these skies, a sell presents itself to those thick of heart — yet caution patrons are the wiser traders — seeking confirmation of a possible evening star formation, perhaps?

Be wary, traders — the bells of the Citadel herald scheduled reports today, their high impact may yet breathe fire upon this delicate balance. Navigate wisely, favoring clarity and discernment over haste, and remember — though chaos is indeed a ladder, it is not always the wisest path to tread.

Therion Lentilseller — I drink coffee and I know things


War Room

Updated: 21:02

Market: BEARISH | SPY -0.7% | QQQ -0.6% | EWZ +0.4% | EWW -1.2%

Scan Summary: 426 symbols scanned - LONG: 76 oversold → 12 turning → 9 with volume - SHORT: 57 overbought → 14 turning → 11 with volume - 234 setups sent to analysis

⚔️ Active Trades: - GFNORTEO.MX (BUY) — R:R 5.99:1 - Entry: 189.10-189.50 | Stop: 189.15 | Target: 193.79 - Oversold RSI suggests a tactical bounce off the breached support - VALE3.BZ (SELL) — R:R 1.95:1 - Entry: 78.80-79.22 | Stop: 79.55 | Target: 76.30 - Bearish Engulfing pattern with strong directional downtrend [auto-promoted by trigger] - KNRI11.BZ (BUY) — R:R 1.5:1 - Entry: 166.65-166.85 | Stop: 167.17 | Target: 170.49 - Strong bullish momentum with support from volume and RSI reflects an opportune moment amidst volatil - GRND3.BZ (BUY) — R:R 1.67:1 - Entry: 4.50-4.60 | Stop: 4.36 | Target: 4.80 - Potential for a reversal indicated by a bullish doji and a squeeze setup. [auto-promoted by trigger] - COGN3.BZ (BUY) — R:R 1.5:1 - Entry: 3.10-3.20 | Stop: 3.06 | Target: 3.35 - Anticipating a breakout from a squeezed position with a recent bullish signal. [auto-promoted by tri - PRIO3.BZ (BUY) — R:R 2.43:1 - Entry: 59.32-59.60 | Stop: 59.70 | Target: 61.00 - Watching for continuation above VWAP with RSI confirming [auto-promoted by trigger] - TSLA34.BZ (SELL) — R:R 2.0:1 - Entry: 65.17-65.50 | Stop: 66.08 | Target: 63.47 - TSLA34.BZ is exhibiting a strong bearish setup with a declining RSI and MACD. Entry is set just abov

🔮 Watching: - PRNR3.BZ (BUY) - Currently oversold with a potential reversal setup; looking for confirmation through a bullish MACD - ENGI11.BZ (BUY) - Bullish momentum with strengthening RSI and Marubozu pattern detected

🚫 Passed Over (top by R:R): - SOJA3.BZ (SELL) — RSI 83, Vol 1,041,000 - ITRI11.BZ (SELL) — RSI 78, Vol 12,574 - SMTO3.BZ (SELL) — RSI 78, Vol 3,128,100 - NVDC34.BZ (BUY) — RSI 23, Vol 2,175,076 - XPCI11.BZ (SELL) — RSI 77, Vol 26,462 - ...and 41 more


Hour 16 Update

Ah, Dorne's markets today seem to be shrouded in a veil as ominous as Cersei's smile at a wedding feast. With a bearish bias sprawling across the lands of financial powerhouses and a resonance much like that of a Stoneheart's call to justice, our scouts bring grim tidings. The treasuries of Brazil's B3 and Mexico's BMV echo with the sound of falling gold dragons, and the Wall stands sturdy, reinforced by sell-offs in our key indexes.

In our watch over PRIO3.BZ, the signs of reversal breathe heavily down our neck with its RSI flirting with overbought danger zones yet it isn't quite ripe for the taking — patience, always a Lentilseller's ally. Our scouts report on opportunities that could be as sly as Varys’s whispers: VALE3.BZ flaunts a bearish Engulfing pattern with ripe discontent at the bulls’ camp, while RAPT4.BZ appears to store some bullish potential as it draws its sword with a majestic Doji.

Should we dance to the bells or brace for winter? Decisions, decisions, indeed. But remember, my dear fellow strategists: A Lentilseller who ignores his stop losses is a dead Lentilseller. Move wisely. For winter may always be coming, but when chaos is a ladder, one must ascend carefully.


Hour 17 Update

The winds of the market are cold today, with bearish armies moving across the realm. The Small Council has spoken with neither fire nor fervor, casting their shadows over the kingdom, and in this, we find our opportunities. The forces from the lands of Brazil and Mexico whisper with potential, as the charts suggest a storm brewing on the horizon.

In the halls of power, PRIO3.BZ beckons with a promise of renewal. Its overbought state and the scouts of RSI report vulnerabilities that the bears may exploit. Meanwhile, KNRI11.BZ stands tall among the battlements of its daily range, showing a bullish advance with powerful volume, akin to bannermen rallying in great number. This presents a unique opportunity for a strategic entry before the siege.

Now, I, Therion Lentilseller, will sip my coffee and dispatch instructions for a trade in KNRI11.BZ while discarding PRIO3.BZ, the lost cause of yesterday.


Hour 18 Update

The realm of the market is awash with intrigue, and a Lentilseller must choose his battles wisely. Our allies have seen better days, as the Iron Throne seems precarious amid these bearish signals from Wall Street's North and the Iron Islands. The day's reports from the Citadel suggest caution, with the maesters whispering of economic shifts.

Scanning the battlefield, the mighty giants of GRND3.BZ seem poised to potentially rally, offering a bullish doji amidst the sea of bearishness — a beacon in these uncertain times. A deft strategist must note that while the initial plunge indicates defeat, where there's chaos, there lies opportunity.

We'll also cast an eye upon COGN3.BZ, as the doughty stock shows signs of recovery potential with a bullish doji. The ongoing squeeze adds pressure, signaling a potent energy waiting to be unleashed once the forces align.


Hour 19 Update

Ah, the market today feels colder than a long night north of the Wall, and as always, chaos is a ladder. The Small Council's recent ravens speak of turmoil with bearish whispers echoing across our realm. Our current trades are in the hands of the system, and our selection for new opportunities must be sharper than Valyrian steel. Amongst the sea of red and signs of impending bearish frost, there are jewels still to be uncovered.

GINF3.BZ presents itself with bullish charm, perched enticingly at a key level that begs to be tested. We might just find shelter there against the financial storm. A good setup is all about reading the battlefield, and the daring will find their edge. In this game of markets, we either seize the Iron Throne of profits or find a bitter reminder of our mistakes.

Here's what unfolds next:


Hour 20 Update

In the swirling maelstrom of the market, where Kings Landing feels the tremors from Dorne's fiery breath and the whispers from the Iron Islands, a Lentilseller must sharpen his gaze like an archer at the Wall. The overall market sentiment today rings a bearish tune, a dulcet harbinger warning of "winter is coming". SPY and NASDAQ giants show weakness, and even the Brazilian and Mexican exchanges are caught in the downdraft. Yet amidst the chaos, some brave souls rise.

TSLA34.BZ, the dragon of innovation, has swooped to a lower perch, opening a gap that cries out for attention. Its RSI is skirting the icy depths, and with the MACD-Hist in freefall, a decisive predator move might be lurking just around the next curve. Meanwhile, PRNR3.BZ shows a classic oversold setup, its RSI lamenting the lost ground with a mournful sigh. Sometimes, when the wheel of fortune lands heavily, it's simply a matter of bracing for that fiery comeback.

Our eyes also drift to NEOG3.BZ, where the momentum tans the battlefield with its strategic stochastics, teasing a rebound from recent lows. We're reminded that chaos is indeed a ladder, and never more so than when support and resistance lines are as taut as bowstrings—gateway to a new chapter in the Game of Markets.

Therion Lentilseller — I drink coffee and I know things.


Hour 21 Update

The night on Wall Street may be beset by bearish shadows, with the proverbial winter whispering among the aisles, but a cunning Lentilseller does not fear a cold night. Today's close approaches with the market narrative leaning towards the darker side of the spectrum, yet in this volatility, one must seek the ladder of opportunity.

Our dear PRNR3.BZ still bides its time on the sidelines, oversold yet teasing a bullish advance with its MACD harmonics. It's not the papal decree yet for promotion, so it stays watched for now.

The Citadel sends whispers that KNIP11.BZ may have been felled by the iron price, suffering a bleak fate. However, my raven alerts me to another rising Baratheon: ENGI11.BZ. Its candles flicker strongly, hinting at possible prosperity with a strengthening RSI and bullish momentum supported by Marubozu—a clear sign of impending might.

Let's move decisively, for new watches like this can turn into dragons of gold or daggers in the back, depending on how we play the game.

Therion Lentilseller
Therion Lentilseller

Former Hand of the King, current macro analyst. Survived three monarchs, two assassination attempts, and one family reunion. Drinks coffee. Knows things.

This dispatch is provided for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance of elven arrows hitting targets does not guarantee future returns.